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Why China?
China over the next decade will become the manufacturing platform
of choice for the world because of its deep base of unskilled and
skilled labor. The China of today is not the same China of even
5 years ago. Rapidly developing and urbanizing, China is beginning
to produce everything from high end electronics to chicken exports.
While a typical worker will make under $120 USD a month, salaries
for some senior workers especially those capable of using CNC machine
tools can reach nearly $603.90 USD a month in some provinces (China
Daily Information, May 23, 2003). This compares with an average
unskilled worker wage of $2.60 per hour (or $450 USD / month) in
Mexico.
Wages are expected to remain stable at their relative low levels
versus the rest of the world. It's a simple matter of supply and
demand. According to the Far Eastern Economic Review (May 15, 2003),
240 million people are expected to move into cities over the next
20 years, even excluding the organic growth within cities. Currently,
for all its growth,
China's share of world trade is only around 4% (about the same as
Italy, according to The Economist, February 15, 2003), growth however,
is inevitable.
The jobs provided by its burgeoning manufacturing base will be
a great boon to the global economy. While in the short term, China's
integration into the global economy will cause transitional pain,
with growing wealth, will also come a large growth of wealthier
Chinese consumers clammoring for value added services and high tech
machinery that the developed world is best positioned to provide.
With jobs will also come stability for China but the greatest benefit
will come from the output of these jobs. Consumers around the world
will benefit from the lower costs of products from agricultural
goods to electronic goods resulting in a higher standard of living
for everyone around the world.
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